The normal probability plot of the effects shows the standardized effects relative to a distribution fit line for the case when all the effects are 0. The standardized effects are t-statistics that test the null hypothesis that the effect is 0. Positive effects increase the response when the settings change from the low value of the factor to the high value. Negative effects decrease the response when they settings change from the low value of the factor to the high value of the factor. Effects further from 0 on the x-axis have greater magnitude. Effects further from 0 are more statistically significant.
The distance that points must be from zero to be statistically significant depends on the significance level (denoted by α or alpha). Unless you use a stepwise selection method that defines an alpha value, the significance level is 1 minus the confidence level for the analysis. For more information on how to change the confidence level, go to Specify the options for Analyze Response Surface Design. If you use backwards selection or stepwise selection, the significance level is the significance level where Minitab removes a term from the model, known as Alpha to remove. If you use forward selection, the significance level is the significance level where Minitab adds a term to the model, known as Alpha to enter
Use the normal probability plot of the effects to determine the magnitude, direction, and the importance of the effects. On the normal probability plot of the effects, effects that are further from 0 are statistically significant. The color and shape of the points differ between statistically significant and statistically insignificant effects. For example, on this plot, the main effects for factors A, B, and C are statistically significant at the 0.05 level. These points have a different color and shape from the points for the insignificant effects.
In addition, the plot indicates the direction of the effect. Process (A) has a positive standardized effect. When process changes from the low level to the high level of the factor, the response increases. Pressure (B) and Speed (C) have negative standardized effects. When Pressure and Speed increase, the response decreases.
Because the normal probability plot of the effects displays negative effects on the left side of the graph and positive effects on the right side of the graph, comparisons about which effects change the response the most are more difficult than on plots that show the absolute values of the standardized effects. The half normal plot and the Pareto chart show the absolute values of the standardized effects.